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Hillary and Bernie Vie for Brooklyn

So it took Hillary five swipes to get her metrocard to work in the New York Subway. At least she had a card. Bernie thought subways still use tokens.

But in an interview with the editorial board of The Daily News this month, Mr. Sanders bungled a question about the New York City subway. “You get a token and you get in,” he said, even though tokens were long ago replaced by MetroCards. The tabloid also marked Mr. Sanders’s turn toward New York with a cover story this week attacking his position on granting immunity to gun manufacturers.

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Eyes on the New York Primary

Forget Wisconsin, all eyes are moving to New York. NY is Trump territory for sure, he's largely favored to win there.

As to Hillary and Bernie, the Washington Post has this report on delegates today. Shorter version: Hillary's far ahead (700 votes) in total delegate votes, leading Bernie 1,749 to 1,061. [More...]

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Ted Cruz' Long Nose

Speaking of Ted Cruz (okay, so nobody here was), he was on Jimmy Kimmel the other night. I only saw the last five minutes -- Kimmel was giving him some kind of quiz with uninteresting questions like what was the first concert he went to. He seemed much more relaxed than he does on the campaign trail -- almost like a pleasant person. And for the first time, his makeup didn't make him look like Grandpa Munster. Given his terrible position on issues, that's scary.

One of his stories seemed like a whopper. Another seemed mis-remembered, at best, and manufactured, at worst. Both were extremely unlikely to have happened the way he described. I think he has memory problems or truth issues -- neither one is good for someone who is running for President. At least if he's gonna make stuff up, he should make the stories credible. These two incidents he recounted were not. [More...]

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Sanders' Sarandon Problem

Last night this happened:

This part really caught attention:

“Really,” Sarandon said, adding that “some people feel that Donald Trump will bring the revolution immediately if he gets in, things will really explode.” Asked if she thinks that’s “dangerous,” she replied, “It’s dangerous to think that we can continue the way we are with the militarized police force, with privatized prisons, with the death penalty, with the low minimum wage, threats to women’s rights and think you can’t do something huge to turn that around.”

To quote Sarandon herself, this is incredibly naive and egotistical. But the real question is for Bernie Sanders - he has to disavow this. If he doesn't, then we know what he is about - basically nihilism.

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Sanders Headlines vs. Clinton Headlines

The effect of Saturday's caucus and primary voting in WA, Alaska and Hawaii varies depending on the media source.

Those influenced by Sanders' peeps (shorthand for people)claim the results mattered. This Associated Press news article disagrees.

After noting that Hillary didn't expect to win in Washington, Hawaii or Alaska, and thus didn't spend any resources there, it reports Hillary retains a substantial delegate lead, which when added to super-delegate votes, makes it very, very tough for Bernie to have a chance at winning.

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Another Primary Night

To be more precise, another primary and caucus night. Arizona, Utah and Idaho (Dems only in Idaho) vote tonight. Polling has been sparse but the indications are Clinton and Trump are in good shape in Arizona and Cruz and Sanders are favored in Utah (Sanders favored in Idaho as well).

More than half of the delegates will come from Arizona so if form holds, Clinton and Trump should extend their delegate leads. We'll see.

Arizona is scheduled to close at 10 Eastern, but they closed like 70% of the polling locations so the lines are long. Most of the votes were early though. Utah and Idaho are caucuses so who the heck knows when they will report.

Will update later.

Update - Early vote from Maricopa (Phoenix) comes in big for Hillary 61-35. Trump. comfortably leads the GOP race. --- Trump projected winner.

Clinton wins Arizona big. Up 24 with 71% in.

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Pols are Pols . . . Superdelegate Edition

For your consideration:

Bernie Sanders is falling further and further behind in pledged delegates — but even after Hillary Clinton’s Tuesday romp, his campaign says there’s a longshot strategy that lets him regain momentum and win the Democratic nomination by relying on superdelegates even if he comes into the Philadelphia convention still trailing Clinton.

“Our plan on this is we’ve got a long way to go, and we’ve got to demonstrate that Bernie’s the strongest candidate,” said Sanders strategist Tad Devine. “We believe that slowly we can win support for people who aren’t for someone, or who are softly for her, and then we can reach out more.”

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Trump and Hillary win Florida, Kasich Takes Ohio

Update 10:45 pm MT: Hillary just took the lead in Missouri, but it's still a virtual tie. She won the other four states today. In Florida, she got over a million votes to Bernie's 550,000.

Missouri is not a winner take all state, so a win by Bernie won't mean much. Bernie spoke in Phoenix, he looks so exhausted and he's hoarse. His first words (of course): "Phoenix, are you ready for a political revolution?" According to David Axelrod on CNN, Bernie spent $4 million on Friday in a single state. He's spending like Jeb Bush, and it seems like it will be just as futile.

Notice that Hillary's campaign is not calling on Bernie to drop out. Personally, I may think it's time, but it's probably correct to say that in the long run, if Hillary wants Bernie's supporters to vote for her in November, it's better not to antagonize them now that the end for him is obviously so close. [More...]

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USA Today Poll: Millennials Would "Flock" to Hillary Over Trump

A new poll at USA Today finds millennial voters now supporting Bernie Sanders would "flock" to Hillary if she and Trump are the nominees.

In a hypothetical Clinton v. Trump contest in November, voters under 35 would choose Clinton by a crushing 52%-19%, a preference that crosses demographic lines. Among whites, she'd be backed by nearly 2-1, 45%-26%. Among Hispanics, by more than 4-1, 61%-14%. Among Asian Americans, by 5-1, 60%-11%. Among African Americans, by 13-1, 67%-5%.

And the yawning gender gap she has against Sanders would vanish: Clinton would carry young men and women by almost identical margins of more than 2-1.

Nearly one in four Republicans would defect to the Democrats if the GOP nominated Trump against Clinton. Just 7% of Democrats would defect to the GOP.

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Ohio Democratic Town Hall

Hillary says she's the most prepared to go up against Donald Trump. She's got thick skin. She talks about what this presidency would mean to our image in the world. She's already getting calls from around the world wanting to stop Trump. She can best focus in on how dangerous a Donald Trump presidency would be.

I just tuned in so I don't know if Bernie has already been on.

The young woman asking about gun violence in poverty stricken neighborhoods seems like a Hillary campaign plant. She asked Hillary a question that everyone knows the answer to and that seems intended solely to let Hillary restate her support for gun control. I'm changing the channel, this town hall seems fixed. [More...]

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Saturday Politics Open Thread

Big Tent Democrat will be going to a Trump rally in Florida tomorrow, to "observe." Follow him on Twitter.

Ben Cohen of Ben and Jerry's ice cream isn't sure who he will vote for if Bernie Sanders is not the nominee. (link is to full interview video.) He told Fox' Neil Cavuto that there are some "similarities" between Sanders and Trump, especially on free trade. He said both Sanders and Trump oppose free trade agreements. Cavuto asked him why he would vote for Hillary then if Sanders doesn't get the nomination since it was her husband who gave us the free trade agreements. He said he's not sure he would.

Cavuto said he thought that's what Cohen told him in an earlier interview and Cohen reiterates he's not sure, he'll have to think hard about it. It's after the 7 minute mark. (Hat tip to Al Giordano on Twitter, but watch it for yourselves.)

Will that stop Dems from buying pints? [More...]

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Bush Brother Neil Joins Ted Cruz Campaign

Neil Bush has joined Ted Cruz' campaign and will serve on his national finance team. That seems to be a fancy name for a money bundler.

Was Ted Cruz in Canada in the 80's? Did he miss Neil Bush's role in the Silverado Savings and Loan scandal?

The New York Times reported in 1990:

In a lawsuit filed in Federal District Court in Denver, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation stopped short of charging fraud. But it said that in the three years Mr. Bush was a director of the Silverado Banking, Savings and Loan Association, he violated conflict-of-interest regulations and failed to act to stop the institution from making improper loans, and in some cases illegal loans.

....Silverado collapsed in December 1988 with $2.3 billion in assets.

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